D. Lajovic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -22.8 to 12.4, with at least one match where D. Lajovic was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Lajovic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

L. van Assche comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.9, meaning L. van Assche has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving L. van Assche vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.