Odds
Player analysis
F. Arnaboldi comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.6, meaning F. Arnaboldi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving F. Arnaboldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — F. Arnaboldi has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.
M. Karol comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.9 to 14.3, with at least one match where M. Karol was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Karol has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 15 Mar | Mano | 6-2 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 22 Feb | Knaff | 5-7 4-6 | L |
| 2 Feb | Gakhov | 5-7 7-5 7-5 | L |
| 28 Jan | Droguet | 5-7 4-6 | L |
| 27 Jan | Moeller | 6-4 6-4 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 26 Jan | Arnaboldi | 2-6 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 13 Jan | Masur | 7-6 7-6 | L |
| 12 Jan | Kasnikowski | 6-7 6-2 1-6 | W |
| 11 Jan | Story | 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 4 Jan | Kingsley | 6-4 6-7 4-6 | L |

