Odds
Player analysis
J. Pegula shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Pegula has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.
A. Anisimova has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -19.0 to 43.2, with at least one match where A. Anisimova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Anisimova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Anisimova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 11 Mar | Mboko | 6-4 6-1 | L |
| 9 Mar | Raducanu | 1-6 1-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Blinkova | 7-5 1-6 0-6 | W |
| 20 Feb | Anisimova | 1-6 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 19 Feb | Andreeva | 6-2 5-7 6-7 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 13 Mar | Pegula | 1-6 6-7 | W |
| 11 Mar | Pegula | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 9 Mar | Pegula | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 8 Mar | Pegula | 4-6 6-2 6-3 | L |
| 21 Feb | Svitolina | 2-6 4-6 | W |

