ShanghaiHard1/32-finals4 Oct 2025 · 12:35
D. Altmaier
#57 · Germany
VS
J. Sinner
#1 · Italy
ALTMAIER
13.94
·
SINNER
1.04

Odds

Market
Altmaier
Sinner
Winner
13.94
1.04
Total
line 15.5
1.05
Over 15.5
6.9
Under 15.5
Total
line 16.0
1.07
Over 16.0
6.45
Under 16.0
Handicap
games
8.1
-2.5 games
1.06
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
7.7
-3.0 games
1.07
+3 games

Player analysis

D. Altmaier comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.9, meaning D. Altmaier has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving D. Altmaier vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -0.9Trend mixed

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Point dominance has been clear and improving — average DS of +14.5, trending upward over the last three matches. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.

DS 14.5Trend up

Recent form

Hard court stats

Altmaier
Stat
Sinner
50%
Win rate
94.3%
110–110
W–L
50–3

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

13
Indoor 01
Hard 02
Clay 10
D. Altmaier vs J. Sinner head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
ViennaIndoor1/16-finalsSinner6-0 6-2
ShanghaiHard1/32-finalsSinner3-6 3-6
ATP French OpenClay1/32-finalsAltmaier7-6 6-7 6-1 6-7 5-7
US OpenHard1/64-finalsSinner7-5 2-6 1-6 6-3 1-6