Odds
Player analysis
Z. Sonmez has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving Z. Sonmez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
E. Alexandrova comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.2, meaning E. Alexandrova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving E. Alexandrova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Alexandrova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 6 Mar | Kalinskaya | 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 4 Mar | Kessler | 7-6 6-0 | W |
| 28 Feb | Bucsa | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 26 Feb | Li | 6-3 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 25 Feb | Brace | 2-6 0-6 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 6 Mar | Gibson | 3-6 5-7 | L |
| 17 Feb | Linette | 2-6 6-4 1-6 | L |
| 10 Feb | Ostapenko | 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 7 Feb | Bejlek | 7-6 6-1 | L |
| 6 Feb | Baptiste | 6-3 6-7 3-6 | W |
Grass court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTA Australian Open | Hard | 1/64-finals | Sonmez | 5-7 6-4 4-6 | |
| Wimbledon | Grass | 1/16-finals | Alexandrova | 3-6 6-7 |

