Odds
Player analysis
E. Alexandrova comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.2, meaning E. Alexandrova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving E. Alexandrova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Alexandrova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.
B. Bencic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving B. Bencic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 11 Mar | Pegula | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 9 Mar | Mertens | 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Hunter | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 18 Feb | Bencic | 6-4 1-6 3-6 | W |
| 16 Feb | Bencic | 2-6 6-1 6-2 | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 6 Mar | Alexandrova | 3-6 5-7 | W |
| 17 Feb | Alexandrova | 2-6 6-4 1-6 | W |
| 10 Feb | Alexandrova | 4-6 2-6 | W |
| 7 Feb | Bejlek | 7-6 6-1 | L |
| 6 Feb | Baptiste | 6-3 6-7 3-6 | W |
Grass court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wimbledon | Grass | 1/8-finals | Bencic | 6-7 4-6 | |
| Bad Homburg | Grass | 1/16-finals | Alexandrova | 6-1 6-2 | |
| WTA Charleston | Clay | Quarter-finals | Bencic | 6-3 6-3 | |
| WTA Miami | Hard | 1/16-finals | Alexandrova | 7-6 6-3 | |
| Charleston | Clay | Semi-finals | Bencic | 4-6 3-6 | |
| Berlin | Clay | Quarter-finals | Bencic | 6-4 4-6 7-6 |

