C. Alcaraz shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 35. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.3 to 21.6, with at least one match where C. Alcaraz was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving C. Alcaraz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

G. Dimitrov comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -10.1, meaning G. Dimitrov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving G. Dimitrov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — G. Dimitrov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.