Odds
Player analysis
M. Lajal has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.9 to 17.9, with at least one match where M. Lajal was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Lajal vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.
D. Merida Aguilar shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 83. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.8 to 9.9, with at least one match where D. Merida Aguilar was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving D. Merida Aguilar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Merida Aguilar has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 30 Apr | Sharipov | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 27 Apr | Santillan | 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 23 Apr | Hsu | 6-7 7-6 3-6 | L |
| 20 Apr | Jones | 7-5 5-7 7-6 | W |
| 26 Feb | Herbert | 4-6 6-7 | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 27 Apr | Tsitsipas | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Moutet | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 23 Apr | Trungelliti | 4-6 6-1 6-7 | W |
| 21 Apr | Trungelliti | 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 20 Apr | Harris | 3-6 5-7 | W |

