Odds
Player analysis
R. Karki has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.8. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving R. Karki vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +21 over the last five.
P. Aggarwal comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.1, meaning P. Aggarwal has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving P. Aggarwal vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Aggarwal has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 17 May | Lakshmanan | 6-7 2-6 | W |
| 10 May | Kshitij | 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 19 Apr | Zink | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 6 Apr | Bennani | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 5 Apr | Corwin | 2-6 6-2 7-5 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 11 May | Karki | L | |
| 10 May | Hans | 6-3 1-6 6-3 | W |
| 5 May | Ribero | 3-6 6-7 | L |
| 4 May | Kayombo | 6-1 6-2 | W |
| 15 Feb | Castelnuovo | 6-2 7-5 | L |

