ManilaHardQuarter-finals29 Jan 2026 · 09:55
D. Vekic
#117 · Croatia
VS
L. Zhu
#142 · China
VEKIC
1.51
·
ZHU
2.52

Odds

Market
Vekic
Zhu
Winner
1.51
2.52
Total
line 19.5
1.45
Over 19.5
2.48
Under 19.5
Total
line 20.0
1.66
Over 20.0
2.22
Under 20.0
Handicap
games
3.2
-5.5 games
1.29
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
2.73
-5.0 games
1.47
+5 games

Player analysis

D. Vekic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.8, meaning D. Vekic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving D. Vekic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Vekic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.

DS -3.84Trend mixed

L. Zhu has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving L. Zhu vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.

DS 5.18Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLWL

2W 3L last 5

11 MarJones6-3 7-6L
10 MarMarcinko6-3 6-4W
8 MarPegula4-6 6-2 6-3L
5 MarValentova7-6 7-6W
24 FebBucsa6-3 6-2L
Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

29 JanVekic6-4 6-3L
28 JanSawangkaew3-6 6-7W
27 JanSun7-5 6-4W
15 JanStakusic5-7 4-6L
14 JanKasintseva1-6 2-6W

Hard court stats

Vekic
Stat
Zhu
54.9%
Win rate
58.3%
236–194
W–L
274–196

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults4
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces1
Double faults1