MiamiHardWTA Final17 Mar 2026 · 20:45
M. Stoiana
#146 · USA
VS
Y. Starodubtseva
#55 · Ukraine
STOIANA
2.21
·
STARODUBTSEVA
1.7

Odds

Market
Stoiana
Starodubtseva
Winner
2.21
1.7
Total
line 19.0
1.4
Over 19.0
2.56
Under 19.0
Total
line 19.5
1.51
Over 19.5
2.26
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
1.83
-2.0 games
1.99
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.77
-2.5 games
2.08
+2.5 games

Player analysis

M. Stoiana comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.8, meaning M. Stoiana has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving M. Stoiana vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Stoiana has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS -1.8Trend down

Y. Starodubtseva has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving Y. Starodubtseva vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.

DS 6.07Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Stoiana
Stat
Starodubtseva
64.8%
Win rate
54.9%
57–31
W–L
118–97

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults4
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces0
Double faults2