US OpenHardQuarter-finals19 Aug 2025 · 18:35
M. Stakusic
#128 · Canada
VS
H. Vandewinkel
#96 · Belgium

Odds

Market
Stakusic
Vandewinkel
Winner

Player analysis

M. Stakusic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.2 with a downward trend. M. Stakusic is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. Stakusic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 2.22Trend down

H. Vandewinkel comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.5 to 18.4, with at least one match where H. Vandewinkel was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving H. Vandewinkel vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — H. Vandewinkel has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS 1.92Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Stakusic
Stat
Vandewinkel
61.1%
Win rate
72.9%
77–49
W–L
86–32

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults5

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

12
Hard 12
M. Stakusic vs H. Vandewinkel head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
W100 IrapuatoHardSemi-finalsStakusic7-6 6-3
TampicoHardQuarter-finalsVandewinkel6-3 6-3
US OpenHardQuarter-finalsVandewinkel3-6 2-6