A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-9 opposition. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +10.6 (range: -2.0 to 22.9). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.

L. Samsonova comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.9 to 26.9, with at least one match where L. Samsonova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving L. Samsonova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.