Odds
Player analysis
E. Rybakina comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 17 on average. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.
Q. Zheng has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.9 to 13.8, with at least one match where Q. Zheng was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving Q. Zheng vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.
Recent form
5W 0L last 5
| 14 Mar | Svitolina | 7-5 6-4 | W |
| 13 Mar | Pegula | 1-6 6-7 | W |
| 10 Mar | Kostyuk | 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Baptiste | 6-7 6-2 2-6 | W |
| 17 Feb | Birrell | 6-1 6-2 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 8 Mar | Ruzic | 6-4 7-5 | L |
| 11 Feb | Rybakina | 6-4 2-6 5-7 | L |
| 10 Feb | Parks | 6-7 6-3 2-6 | W |
| 9 Feb | Kenin | 4-6 6-1 6-2 | W |
| 27 Sep | Arango | 3-6 2-6 Ret. | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTA Doha | Hard | 1/8-finals | Rybakina | 6-4 2-6 5-7 | |
| WTA Finals - Riyadh | Indoor | Zheng | 6-7 6-3 1-6 | ||
| WTA Beijing | Hard | 1/32-finals | Rybakina | 1-6 2-6 | |
| Wimbledon | Grass | 1/16-finals | Rybakina | 6-7 5-7 |

