MadridClay1/16-finals7 Apr 2026 · 15:05
D. Rincon
#296 · Spain
VS
T. Samuel
#163 · United Kingdom
RINCON
2.09
·
SAMUEL
1.8

Odds

Market
Rincon
Samuel
Winner
2.09
1.8
Total
line 21.5
1.85
Over 21.5
1.85
Under 21.5
Total
line 22.5
2.12
Over 22.5
1.64
Under 22.5
Handicap
games
1.73
+4.5 games
2
-4.5 games
Handicap
games
1.8
+2.5 games
1.91
-2.5 games

Player analysis

D. Rincon has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.2 to 16.0, with at least one match where D. Rincon was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Rincon vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 3.04Trend up

T. Samuel has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.1, meaning T. Samuel has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving T. Samuel vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -2.09Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Rincon
Stat
Samuel
56.7%
Win rate
75%
106–81
W–L
3–1

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

03
Hard 03
D. Rincon vs T. Samuel head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Hersonissos 2Hard1/8-finalsSamuel3-6 0-6
HersonissosHard1/8-finalsSamuel7-6 6-4
Tenerife 2Hard1/16-finalsSamuel5-7 0-6