D. Rincon comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.6, meaning D. Rincon has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving D. Rincon vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

M. Mrva has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving M. Mrva vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.