RomeClay1/32-finals9 May 2025 · 11:10
A. Sabalenka
#1 · Belarus
VS
A. Potapova
#96 · Austria

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
Potapova
Winner

Player analysis

A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-9 opposition. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +10.6 (range: -2.0 to 22.9). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.

DS 10.57Trend up

A. Potapova comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.3, meaning A. Potapova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.1/10, leaving A. Potapova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -6.32Trend up

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWLLLW

2W 3L last 5

6 MarPotapova7-6 2-6 3-6W
4 MarPotapova4-6 6-1 7-5L
24 FebArango7-6 6-2L
13 FebSeidel6-4 6-3L
5 FebPotapova5-7 4-6W
Recent form bar chartLLLLL

0W 5L last 5

15 MarSabalenka3-6 6-3 7-6L
14 MarSabalenka6-3 6-4L
12 MarSabalenka7-6 6-4L
10 MarSabalenka6-2 6-4L
8 MarSabalenka6-4 6-1L

Clay court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
Potapova
69.5%
Win rate
62.6%
91–40
W–L
67–40

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved80%
Aces8
Double faults3
1st serve %50%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults6

Head to head

30
Hard 10
Clay 20
A. Sabalenka vs A. Potapova head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA Australian OpenHard1/16-finalsSabalenka7-6 7-6
RomeClay1/32-finalsSabalenka6-2 6-2
WTA StuttgartClaySemi-finalsSabalenka1-6 2-6