S. Stephens has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.1 with a downward trend. S. Stephens is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving S. Stephens vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

L. Pigato comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -25.0 to 32.6, with at least one match where L. Pigato was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving L. Pigato vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.