WTA DohaHard1/16-finals10 Feb 2026 · 11:40
M. Sakkari
#33 · Greece
VS
J. Paolini
#7 · Italy
SAKKARI
2.46
·
PAOLINI
1.62

Odds

Market
Sakkari
Paolini
Winner
2.46
1.62
Total
line 16.5
1.1
Over 16.5
5.1
Under 16.5
Total
line 17.0
1.12
Over 17.0
4.75
Under 17.0
Handicap
games
1.9
-2.5 games
1.83
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
2.14
-2.0 games
1.76
+2 games

Player analysis

M. Sakkari has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -20.0 to 17.1, with at least one match where M. Sakkari was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. Sakkari vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.

DS 1.27Trend up

J. Paolini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.7 to 8.0, with at least one match where J. Paolini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.24Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWWL

3W 2L last 5

10 MarGibson7-5 2-6 6-1L
8 MarTomljanovic5-7 7-5 1-6W
6 MarPotapova7-6 2-6 3-6W
1 MarPaolini5-7 4-6W
28 FebPaolini0-6 6-3 6-3L
Recent form bar chartWLWWW

4W 1L last 5

10 MarSakkari3-6 2-6W
7 MarSakkari7-5 6-0L
13 FebSakkari6-3 4-6 1-6W
12 FebSwiatek6-2 4-6 5-7W
11 FebGracheva6-7 0-6W

Hard court stats

Sakkari
Stat
Paolini
56.5%
Win rate
54.2%
212–163
W–L
147–124

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces2
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults2

Head to head

22
Hard 12
Clay 10
M. Sakkari vs J. Paolini head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA DohaHard1/16-finalsSakkari6-4 6-2
CincinnatiHard1/32-finalsPaolini7-6 7-6
MadridClay1/16-finalsSakkari6-2 6-1
WTA DubaiHard1/8-finalsPaolini4-6 2-6