D. Ostapenkov has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.1, meaning D. Ostapenkov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving D. Ostapenkov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Ostapenkov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

S. Pieri comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.6, meaning S. Pieri has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving S. Pieri vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.