MadridClay1/32-finals24 Apr 2025 · 16:15
A. Sevastova
#186 · Latvia
VS
J. Ostapenko
#24 · Latvia

Odds

Market
Sevastova
Ostapenko
Winner

Player analysis

A. Sevastova comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -12.2, meaning A. Sevastova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving A. Sevastova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Sevastova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.

DS -12.16Trend mixed

J. Ostapenko comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.2, meaning J. Ostapenko has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.

DS -2.22Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLLLL

0W 5L last 5

13 JanOsuigwe2-6 0-6L
3 JanKraus6-4 6-7 6-3L
11 DecRajaonah7-5 4-6 6-3L
27 OctJoint6-2 4-6 3-6L
26 SepPaolini6-1 6-3 Ret.L
Recent form bar chartLWLLW

2W 3L last 5

9 MarPegula4-6 6-3 6-2L
7 MarVolynets4-6 6-7W
16 FebKalinskaya6-2 1-6 4-6L
13 FebMboko3-6 2-6L
12 FebCocciaretto7-5 6-4W

Clay court stats

Sevastova
Stat
Ostapenko
62.6%
Win rate
61.2%
114–68
W–L
79–50

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted70%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults3

Head to head

10
Clay 10
A. Sevastova vs J. Ostapenko head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MadridClay1/32-finalsSevastova7-6 6-2