WTA Indian WellsHard1/8-finals10 Mar 2026 · 19:10
A. Sabalenka
#1 · Belarus
VS
N. Osaka
#15 · Japan
SABALENKA
1.18
·
OSAKA
5.71

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
Osaka
Winner
1.18
5.71
Total
line 15.5
1.02
Over 15.5
7.7
Under 15.5
Total
line 16.0
1.03
Over 16.0
7.2
Under 16.0
Handicap
games
13
-9.5 games
1
+9.5 games
Handicap
games
13.5
-9.0 games
1
+9 games

Player analysis

A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-9 opposition. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +10.6 (range: -2.0 to 22.9). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.

DS 10.57Trend up

N. Osaka shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 47. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving N. Osaka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 5.52Trend down

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWWWWW

5W 0L last 5

15 MarRybakina3-6 6-3 7-6W
14 MarNoskova6-3 6-4W
12 MarMboko7-6 6-4W
10 MarOsaka6-2 6-4W
8 MarCristian6-4 6-1W
Recent form bar chartLWWWW

4W 1L last 5

10 MarSabalenka6-2 6-4L
8 MarOsorio1-6 6-3 1-6W
7 MarKasintseva5-7 2-6W
22 JanCirstea6-3 4-6 6-2W
20 JanRuzic6-3 3-6 6-4W

Hard court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
Osaka
72.8%
Win rate
73.3%
302–113
W–L
22–8

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved80%
Aces8
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults1