ManilaHard1/16-finals27 Jan 2026 · 13:20
D. Vekic
#117 · Croatia
VS
K. Okamura
#307 · Japan
VEKIC
1.09
·
OKAMURA
8.08

Odds

Market
Vekic
Okamura
Winner
1.09
8.08
Total
line 15.5
1.18
Over 15.5
4.07
Under 15.5
Total
line 16.5
1.37
Over 16.5
2.76
Under 16.5
Handicap
games
5.61
-9.5 games
1.09
+9.5 games
Handicap
games
3.57
-8.5 games
1.23
+8.5 games

Player analysis

D. Vekic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.8, meaning D. Vekic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving D. Vekic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Vekic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.

DS -3.84Trend mixed

K. Okamura comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -12.6, meaning K. Okamura has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving K. Okamura vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -12.57Trend down

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLWL

2W 3L last 5

11 MarJones6-3 7-6L
10 MarMarcinko6-3 6-4W
8 MarPegula4-6 6-2 6-3L
5 MarValentova7-6 7-6W
24 FebBucsa6-3 6-2L
Recent form bar chartLLWLL

1W 4L last 5

27 JanVekic6-2 6-2L
26 OctMorvayova6-4 3-6 4-6L
25 OctGuo6-1 2-6 6-4W
13 OctGalfi6-3 7-6L
3 OctKasintseva6-3 6-1L

Hard court stats

Vekic
Stat
Okamura
54.9%
Win rate
47.7%
236–194
W–L
143–157

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults4
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted70%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults4