Australian OpenHard1/16-finals23 Jan 2026 · 09:25
A. Zverev
#4 · Germany
VS
C. Norrie
#24 · United Kingdom
ZVEREV
1.23
·
NORRIE
4.75

Odds

Market
Zverev
Norrie
Winner
1.23
4.75
Total
line 32.5
1.57
Over 32.5
2.42
Under 32.5
Total
line 33.0
1.6
Over 33.0
2.35
Under 33.0
Handicap
games
8.38
-9.5 games
1.07
+9.5 games
Handicap
games
7.24
-9.0 games
1.1
+9 games

Player analysis

A. Zverev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 30. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 5.02Trend mixed

C. Norrie has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -26.2 to 20.3, with at least one match where C. Norrie was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving C. Norrie vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.

DS 0.77Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWWW

4W 1L last 5

14 MarSinner2-6 4-6L
12 MarFils2-6 3-6W
10 MarTiafoe3-6 4-6W
8 MarNakashima6-7 7-5 4-6W
6 MarBerrettini3-6 4-6W
Recent form bar chartLWWWL

3W 2L last 5

13 MarAlcaraz6-3 6-4L
11 MarHijikata4-6 2-6W
9 MarMinaur6-4 6-4W
8 MarMcDonald6-2 6-3W
24 FebJodar6-3 6-2L

Hard court stats

Zverev
Stat
Norrie
66.9%
Win rate
60.8%
341–169
W–L
240–155

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces9
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults2