Odds
Player analysis
C. Norrie comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.8, meaning C. Norrie has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving C. Norrie vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.
D. Vallejo shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 301. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving D. Vallejo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+35) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 20 May | Navone | 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 9 May | Tirante | 6-3 7-5 | L |
| 28 Apr | Sinner | 6-2 7-5 | L |
| 26 Apr | Tirante | 7-5 7-6 | W |
| 24 Apr | Machac | 6-2 6-7 7-6 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 17 May | Kecmanovic | 6-2 3-6 6-2 | L |
| 16 May | Munar | 4-6 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 15 May | Bergs | 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 14 May | Varona | 6-7 0-6 | W |
| 12 May | Miralles | 1-6 1-6 | W |

