Mexico CityClay1/8-finals8 Apr 2026 · 19:10
M. Soto
#300 · Chile
VS
S. Napolitano
#246 · Italy
SOTO
2.55
·
NAPOLITANO
1.56

Odds

Market
Soto
Napolitano
Winner
2.55
1.56
Total
line 21.5
1.65
Over 21.5
2.05
Under 21.5
Total
line 22.0
1.77
Over 22.0
1.92
Under 22.0
Handicap
games
1.98
-2.0 games
1.72
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.9
-2.5 games
1.8
+2.5 games

Player analysis

M. Soto has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.2 to 18.8, with at least one match where M. Soto was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Soto vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.02Trend mixed

S. Napolitano comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.2, meaning S. Napolitano has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving S. Napolitano vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -0.18Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Soto
Stat
Napolitano
60%
Win rate
53.4%
93–62
W–L
151–132

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted20%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults2