SINNER
1.04
·
MUSETTI
16.85
Odds
Market
Sinner
Musetti
Winner
1.04
16.85
Total
line 26.5
1.22
Over 26.5
3.5
Under 26.5
Total
line 27.0
1.26
Over 27.0
3.25
Under 27.0
Handicap
games
11.5
-12.5 games
1.02
+12.5 games
Handicap
games
11
-12.0 games
1.03
+12 games
Player analysis
J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-22 opposition. Serve quality has been average (6.9/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
DS 13.49Trend mixed
L. Musetti has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.1 to 17.6, with at least one match where L. Musetti was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
DS 1.89Trend mixed
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 6 Mar | Musetti | 5-7 1-6 | W |
| 26 Jan | Musetti | 6-2 7-5 6-4 | L |
| 24 Jan | Musetti | 5-7 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2 | L |
| 22 Jan | Musetti | 6-3 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 11 Jan | Musetti | 6-7 3-6 | W |
Hard court stats
SinnerStatMusetti
80.5%Win rate54.3%
248–60W–L126–106
Avg stats — last 5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won90%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
Aces10
Double faults2
BP saved60%
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults2
Head to head
3–0
Hard 1–0
Clay 1–0
Indoor 1–0
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Open | Hard | Quarter-finals | Sinner | 6-1 6-4 6-2 | |
| ATP Monte Carlo | Clay | Quarter-finals | Sinner | 2-6 2-6 | |
| Antwerp | Indoor | 1/8-finals | Sinner | 7-5 6-2 |