Odds
Player analysis
L. Sonego comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.1, meaning L. Sonego has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving L. Sonego vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Sonego has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.
J. Munar has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.4 to 24.4, with at least one match where J. Munar was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Munar has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 22 Jan | Musetti | 6-3 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 20 Jan | Taberner | 6-4 6-0 6-3 | W |
| 8 Jan | Shang | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 6 Jan | Sakamoto | 6-2 7-6 | W |
| 7 Nov | Norrie | 4-6 6-2 6-4 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 13 Feb | Bublik | 4-6 7-6 6-7 | L |
| 12 Feb | Khachanov | 6-7 6-3 3-6 | W |
| 9 Feb | Kjaer | 1-6 3-6 | W |
| 22 Jan | Ruud | 3-6 5-7 4-6 | L |
| 19 Jan | Svrcina | 3-6 6-2 6-7 7-5 6-3 | W |

