Odds
Player analysis
G. Monfils comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -19.3 to 16.4, with at least one match where G. Monfils was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving G. Monfils vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — G. Monfils has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.
R. Safiullin comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.8, meaning R. Safiullin has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving R. Safiullin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Safiullin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 7 Mar | Auger-Aliassime | 7-6 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 5 Mar | Galarneau | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 26 Feb | Vacherot | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 25 Feb | Dzumhur | 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 20 Jan | Sweeny | 6-7 7-5 6-4 7-5 | L |
1W 4L last 5
| 4 Mar | Choinski | 6-4 5-7 5-7 | L |
| 2 Mar | Skatov | 7-6 6-3 | W |
| 23 Feb | Chidekh | 6-3 6-1 | L |
| 17 Feb | Blockx | 6-2 6-2 | L |
| 29 Aug | Auger-Aliassime | 1-6 6-7 6-7 | L |

