N. Mejia comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.0 with a downward trend. N. Mejia is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving N. Mejia vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

C. O'Connell has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -15.4 to 13.8, with at least one match where C. O'Connell was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving C. O'Connell vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. O'Connell has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.