Odds
Player analysis
V. Mboko shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 39. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving V. Mboko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — V. Mboko has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
C. Tauson comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.1, meaning C. Tauson has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving C. Tauson vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Tauson has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 26 May | Bartunkova | 6-1 6-2 | W |
| 23 May | Navarro | 0-6 7-5 2-6 | L |
| 22 May | Cristian | 7-6 3-6 6-2 | W |
| 21 May | Fernandez | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 19 May | Boisson | 6-4 6-3 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 24 May | Snigur | 6-3 5-7 2-6 | L |
| 20 May | Cristian | 1-6 5-7 | L |
| 8 Mar | Gibson | 7-6 4-6 6-4 | L |
| 6 Mar | Putintseva | 6-7 2-6 | W |
| 19 Feb | Pegula | 3-6 6-2 4-6 | L |

