Odds
Player analysis
R. Strombachs comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.3 with a downward trend. R. Strombachs is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving R. Strombachs vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.
A. Matusevich comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.2 to 24.7, with at least one match where A. Matusevich was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Matusevich has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 6 Feb | Hardt | 7-5 6-7 6-2 | L |
| 12 Jan | Moeller | 7-6 2-6 3-6 | L |
| 11 Jan | Matusevich | 7-6 6-3 | W |
| 6 Jan | Erhard | 6-7 6-3 6-7 | L |
| 6 Oct | Tsitsipas | 4-6 7-5 6-4 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 11 Jan | Strombachs | 7-6 6-3 | L |
| 6 Jan | Chidekh | 7-6 4-6 0-6 | L |
| 5 Jan | Wiskandt | 0-6 6-7 | W |
| 4 Jan | Peliwo | 6-3 6-3 | W |
| 17 Nov | Stewart | 3-6 6-3 7-5 | L |

