MiamiHard16 Mar 2026 · 22:05
Y. Watanuki
#271 · Japan
VS
F. Maestrelli
#128 · Italy
WATANUKI
2.16
·
MAESTRELLI
1.72

Odds

Market
Watanuki
Maestrelli
Change
Winner
2.16
1.72
Total
line 20.0
1.26
Over 20.0
3.2
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.36
Over 20.5
2.7
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
1.48
-3.0 games
2.43
+3 games
Handicap
games
1.62
-2.5 games
2.13
+2.5 games

Player analysis

Y. Watanuki has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.5 with a downward trend. Y. Watanuki is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving Y. Watanuki vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 2.47Trend down

F. Maestrelli comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.3, meaning F. Maestrelli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving F. Maestrelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -4.31Trend down

Recent form

Hard court stats

Watanuki
Stat
Maestrelli
59.6%
Win rate
54.3%
180–122
W–L
76–64

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults6

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

10
Indoor 10
Y. Watanuki vs F. Maestrelli head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Forli 4IndoorFinalWatanuki6-3 2-6 6-4