Odds
Player analysis
P. Marcinko shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 220. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.3. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving P. Marcinko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.
E. Lys comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.7 to 21.3, with at least one match where E. Lys was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving E. Lys vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Lys has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 22 May | Teichmann | 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 21 May | Maneiro | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 20 May | Kotliar | 5-7 6-2 7-6 | W |
| 18 May | Zvonareva | 6-2 6-4 | W |
| 5 May | Oliynykova | 1-6 3-6 | L |
1W 4L last 5
| 16 May | Gibson | 6-2 3-6 6-0 | L |
| 8 May | Osaka | 6-4 4-6 6-3 | L |
| 6 May | Boulter | 4-6 6-3 4-6 | W |
| 22 Apr | Zhang | 6-4 6-3 | L |
| 15 Apr | Svitolina | 1-6 0-6 | L |

