Odds
Player analysis
I. Simakin comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.7, meaning I. Simakin has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving I. Simakin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — I. Simakin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.
L. Lokoli has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.8 to 15.5, with at least one match where L. Lokoli was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 23 Apr | Kwon | 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 21 Apr | Bolt | 6-7 6-3 1-6 | W |
| 14 Apr | Shimabukuro | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 10 Apr | Kotov | 2-6 7-6 6-3 | L |
| 8 Apr | Ostapenkov | 3-6 3-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 10 May | Karol | 6-4 7-6 | W |
| 5 Apr | Kasnikowski | 2-6 6-3 3-6 | L |
| 2 Apr | Giustino | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 30 Mar | Piraino | 3-6 6-3 3-6 | W |
| 29 Mar | Donald | 6-3 6-7 3-6 | W |

