Odds
Player analysis
C. Lestienne comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.8 to 26.9, with at least one match where C. Lestienne was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving C. Lestienne vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Lestienne has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
Y. Uchiyama has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.2 to 11.0, with at least one match where Y. Uchiyama was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving Y. Uchiyama vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 23 Jun | Onclin | 2-6 6-4 4-6 | L |
| 15 Jun | Wong | 4-6 5-7 | L |
| 19 May | Burruchaga | 3-6 6-7 | L |
| 9 May | Bolt | 3-6 6-1 2-6 | L |
| 6 May | Uchiyama | 6-1 6-3 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 11 Feb | Zhang | 6-4 7-6 | L |
| 10 Feb | Hewitt | 5-7 5-7 | W |
| 7 Feb | Sweeny | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 6 Feb | Bolt | 2-6 7-6 2-6 | W |
| 4 Feb | Marinkov | 4-6 6-3 1-6 | W |

