BusanHard1/16-finals14 Apr 2026 · 10:30
Y. Zhou
#217 · China
VS
P. Kotov
#255 · Russia
ZHOU
2.27
·
KOTOV
1.68

Odds

Market
Zhou
Kotov
Winner
2.27
1.68
Total
line 20.5
1.46
Over 20.5
2.45
Under 20.5
Total
line 21.5
1.62
Over 21.5
2.1
Under 21.5
Handicap
games
1.82
-2.0 games
1.86
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.81
-2.5 games
2.04
+2.5 games

Player analysis

Y. Zhou comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.4, meaning Y. Zhou has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving Y. Zhou vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Y. Zhou has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS -4.42Trend mixed

P. Kotov shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 249. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.3 with a downward trend. P. Kotov is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving P. Kotov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.33Trend down

Recent form

Hard court stats

Zhou
Stat
Kotov
51.1%
Win rate
53.3%
116–111
W–L
106–93

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces10
Double faults4

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

01
Hard 01
Y. Zhou vs P. Kotov head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
ATP BeijingHard1/16-finalsKotov6-1 3-6 5-7