Odds
Player analysis
M. Lajal comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.7 with a downward trend. M. Lajal is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving M. Lajal vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Lajal has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.
P. Kotov arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Kotov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 26 Feb | Herbert | 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 24 Feb | Berrettini | 6-3 6-1 | W |
| 7 Feb | Dippenaar | 1-6 4-6 | W |
| 28 Jan | Kotov | 6-3 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 21 Jan | Kukushkin | 6-7 6-2 7-5 | L |
5W 0L last 5
| 15 Mar | Romano | 6-2 7-5 | W |
| 14 Mar | Gojo | 4-6 6-3 3-6 | W |
| 13 Mar | Cassone | 1-6 1-6 | W |
| 11 Mar | Martineau | 4-6 7-6 6-7 | W |
| 10 Mar | Chidekh | 1-6 6-1 7-6 | W |

