MadridClay1/8-finals29 Apr 2025 · 14:00
M. Keys
#18 · USA
VS
D. Vekic
#117 · Croatia

Odds

Market
Keys
Vekic
Winner

Player analysis

M. Keys has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.4 to 13.5, with at least one match where M. Keys was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving M. Keys vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Keys has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS 3.13Trend up

D. Vekic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.8, meaning D. Vekic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving D. Vekic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Vekic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.

DS -3.84Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLWW

3W 2L last 5

10 MarKartal6-2 2-6 3-6L
8 MarParry6-4 6-3W
26 JanPegula6-3 6-4L
24 JanPliskova3-6 3-6W
22 JanKrueger1-6 5-7W
Recent form bar chartLWLWL

2W 3L last 5

11 MarJones6-3 7-6L
10 MarMarcinko6-3 6-4W
8 MarPegula4-6 6-2 6-3L
5 MarValentova7-6 7-6W
24 FebBucsa6-3 6-2L

Clay court stats

Keys
Stat
Vekic
62.9%
Win rate
50%
90–53
W–L
55–55

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces4
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults4

Head to head

21
Clay 10
Hard 11
M. Keys vs D. Vekic head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MadridClay1/8-finalsKeys6-2 6-3
Indian WellsHard1/8-finalsKeys6-4 6-7 3-6
TorontoHard1/32-finalsVekic6-3 6-7 6-7