S. Kartal shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 66. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.6 to 16.0, with at least one match where S. Kartal was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving S. Kartal vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

J. Ostapenko comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.2, meaning J. Ostapenko has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.