BergamoIndoor1/16-finals18 Nov 2025 · 15:35
M. Karol
#411 · Slovakia
VS
A. Pellegrino
#128 · Italy
KAROL
1.45
·
PELLEGRINO
2.84

Odds

Market
Karol
Pellegrino
Winner
1.45
2.84
Total
line 20.5
1.53
Over 20.5
2.28
Under 20.5
Total
line 21.0
1.61
Over 21.0
2.32
Under 21.0
Handicap
games
3.64
-5.5 games
1.23
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
3.24
-5.0 games
1.28
+5 games

Player analysis

M. Karol comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.9 to 14.3, with at least one match where M. Karol was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Karol has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.

DS 2.38Trend mixed

A. Pellegrino shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 285. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.2 to 13.0, with at least one match where A. Pellegrino was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Pellegrino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.

DS 3.78Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLWWL

2W 3L last 5

26 JanArnaboldi2-6 6-3 6-3L
13 JanMasur7-6 7-6L
12 JanKasnikowski6-7 6-2 1-6W
11 JanStory2-6 4-6W
4 JanKingsley6-4 6-7 4-6L
Recent form bar chartLWWWW

4W 1L last 5

27 FebDarderi3-6 6-3 2-6L
25 FebComesana6-7 7-6 3-6W
23 FebBarrena6-2 2-6 6-1W
22 FebGalan6-7 7-6 6-4W
21 FebVillalon6-3 6-4W

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces13
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults3