Odds
Player analysis
A. Kalinskaya comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.3, meaning A. Kalinskaya has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving A. Kalinskaya vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Kalinskaya has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -35 over recent matches.
K. Rakhimova has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.3. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving K. Rakhimova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 9 Mar | Mboko | 6-4 6-1 | L |
| 6 Mar | Sonmez | 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 17 Feb | Gauff | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 16 Feb | Ostapenko | 6-2 1-6 4-6 | W |
| 12 Feb | Muchova | 6-3 6-4 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 11 Mar | Birrell | 6-2 1-6 6-2 | L |
| 9 Mar | Lamens | 7-5 1-6 4-6 | W |
| 6 Mar | Gauff | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 5 Mar | Andreescu | 7-6 0-6 1-6 | W |
| 1 Mar | Carle | 6-2 6-2 | W |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hong Kong | Hard | 1/16-finals | Kalinskaya | 6-4 6-4 | |
| Washington | Hard | 1/16-finals | Kalinskaya | 6-2 6-3 | |
| WTA Dubai | Hard | Final | Kalinskaya | 6-2 6-2 |

