Odds
Player analysis
D. Parry has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -19.6 to 23.9, with at least one match where D. Parry was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Parry vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Parry has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
A. Kalinskaya comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.3, meaning A. Kalinskaya has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving A. Kalinskaya vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Kalinskaya has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 20 Mar | Kalinskaya | 6-3 1-6 5-7 | W |
| 9 Mar | Mboko | 6-4 6-1 | L |
| 6 Mar | Sonmez | 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 17 Feb | Gauff | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 16 Feb | Ostapenko | 6-2 1-6 4-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 17 Mar | Kalieva | 6-4 6-0 | L |
| 16 Mar | Stefanini | 2-6 6-4 5-7 | W |
| 8 Mar | Keys | 6-4 6-3 | L |
| 5 Mar | Parry | 6-3 6-7 6-1 | L |
| 3 Mar | Sun | 2-6 3-6 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madrid | Clay | 1/32-finals | Kalinskaya | 6-7 4-6 |

