WTA Australian OpenHardQuarter-finals27 Jan 2026 · 01:45
A. Sabalenka
#1 · Belarus
VS
I. Jovic
#17 · USA
SABALENKA
1.16
·
JOVIC
6.2

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
Jovic
Winner
1.16
6.2
Total
line 15.5
1.06
Over 15.5
6.4
Under 15.5
Total
line 16.0
1.08
Over 16.0
6.05
Under 16.0
Handicap
games
13.7
-9.5 games
1.01
+9.5 games
Handicap
games
13
-9.0 games
1.02
+9 games

Player analysis

A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-9 opposition. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +10.6 (range: -2.0 to 22.9). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.

DS 10.57Trend up

I. Jovic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning I. Jovic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving I. Jovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -1.35Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWWWWW

5W 0L last 5

15 MarRybakina3-6 6-3 7-6W
14 MarNoskova6-3 6-4W
12 MarMboko7-6 6-4W
10 MarOsaka6-2 6-4W
8 MarCristian6-4 6-1W
Recent form bar chartLLWLW

2W 3L last 5

7 MarOsorio6-4 6-7 3-6L
27 FebTomljanovic4-6 6-4 6-4L
24 FebBlinkova3-6 4-6W
18 FebPegula4-6 2-6L
17 FebShnaider6-4 1-6 6-0W

Hard court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
Jovic
72.8%
Win rate
69.2%
302–113
W–L
63–28

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved80%
Aces8
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults2