Odds
Player analysis
N. Jarry has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — N. Jarry has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.
T. Skatov has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.3 to 10.4, with at least one match where T. Skatov was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving T. Skatov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Skatov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 14 Apr | Moller | 2-6 6-3 0-6 | W |
| 11 Apr | Rodionov | 7-6 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 10 Apr | Fatic | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 9 Apr | Stricker | 6-2 7-6 | W |
| 17 Mar | Bellucci | 6-3 6-1 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 23 Apr | Ostapenkov | 6-7 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 22 Apr | Gulin | 6-2 3-6 6-4 | W |
| 21 Apr | Prihodko | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 14 Apr | Assche | 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 9 Apr | Gaston | 6-7 6-7 | L |

