Odds
Player analysis
M. Bellucci comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.1, meaning M. Bellucci has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. Bellucci vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
N. Jarry has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — N. Jarry has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 15 Mar | Navone | 5-7 4-6 | L |
| 14 Mar | Walton | 3-6 5-7 | W |
| 13 Mar | Collignon | 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 12 Mar | Hurkacz | 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 11 Mar | Maestrelli | 1-6 1-6 | W |
0W 5L last 5
| 10 Mar | Walton | 6-7 1-6 | L |
| 2 Mar | Maestrelli | 4-6 6-4 6-7 | L |
| 24 Feb | Prizmic | 3-6 7-5 2-6 | L |
| 14 Feb | Faria | 7-6 6-7 6-3 | L |
| 12 Jan | Droguet | 6-4 6-3 | L |

