MiamiHardATP Semi-finals17 Mar 2026 · 02:25
M. Bellucci
#78 · Italy
VS
N. Jarry
#156 · Chile
BELLUCCI
1.47
·
JARRY
2.76

Odds

Market
Bellucci
Jarry
Winner
1.47
2.76
Total
line 19.5
1.32
Over 19.5
2.98
Under 19.5
Total
line 20.0
1.3
Over 20.0
2.97
Under 20.0
Handicap
games
6.05
-6.0 games
1.08
+6 games
Handicap
games
4.05
-5.5 games
1.19
+5.5 games

Player analysis

M. Bellucci comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.1, meaning M. Bellucci has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. Bellucci vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -3.12Trend up

N. Jarry has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — N. Jarry has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.

DS 6.1Trend down

Recent form

Hard court stats

Bellucci
Stat
Jarry
60.2%
Win rate
44.9%
150–99
W–L
75–92

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults2
1st serve %80%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces9
Double faults1