Odds
Player analysis
J. Rodionov has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.3. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving J. Rodionov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.
M. Janvier comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.8, meaning M. Janvier has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving M. Janvier vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Janvier has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 14 Mar | Romano | 6-7 6-2 4-6 | L |
| 13 Mar | Onclin | 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 12 Mar | Knaff | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 10 Mar | Janvier | 4-6 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 6 Mar | Ofner | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 15 Mar | Pieczonka | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 10 Mar | Rodionov | 4-6 6-1 6-4 | L |
| 9 Mar | Durand | 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 8 Mar | Parizzia | 6-4 3-6 7-6 | W |
| 1 Mar | Blancaneaux | 6-7 6-7 | L |

