GwangjuHardQuarter-finals24 Apr 2026 · 04:10
Y. Shimizu
#390 · Japan
VS
A. Holmgren
#185 · Denmark
SHIMIZU
2.97
·
HOLMGREN
1.43

Odds

Market
Shimizu
Holmgren
Winner
2.97
1.43
Total
line 21.5
1.67
Over 21.5
2.02
Under 21.5
Total
line 22.0
1.84
Over 22.0
2.02
Under 22.0
Handicap
games
2.2
-2.0 games
1.58
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.05
-2.5 games
1.67
+2.5 games

Player analysis

Y. Shimizu has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -23.5 to 61.9, with at least one match where Y. Shimizu was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving Y. Shimizu vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Y. Shimizu has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.

DS 8.01Trend down

A. Holmgren has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.3 with a downward trend. A. Holmgren is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Holmgren has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -34 over recent matches.

DS 2.33Trend down

Recent form

Hard court stats

Shimizu
Stat
Holmgren
58.1%
Win rate
53.8%
169–122
W–L
21–18

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces11
Double faults4

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

02
Hard 02
Y. Shimizu vs A. Holmgren head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
GwangjuHardQuarter-finalsHolmgren6-7 4-6
GranbyHardQuarter-finalsHolmgren4-6 6-4 3-6