Odds
Player analysis
A. Guerrieri has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.5 with a downward trend. A. Guerrieri is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving A. Guerrieri vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.
S. Travaglia has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.5 to 16.7, with at least one match where S. Travaglia was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving S. Travaglia vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.

