M. McDonald has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -20.3 to 29.4, with at least one match where M. McDonald was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. McDonald vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.

H. Grenier comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.3, meaning H. Grenier has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving H. Grenier vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.